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Pre-submit · Pattern AI · 80+ root causes tracked

AI that catches denials before submission.

A denied claim costs an average of $25 to rework, takes 14 days to refile, and forgoes 9 percent of full value at takeback when finally paid. Prevention beats recovery on every axis. Our denial prediction model scores every claim before it leaves, routes high-risk claims to specialists with the predicted reason and source data, and auto-corrects the deterministic ones. The result on our active book is a 34 percent drop in first-pass denials.

80+ tracked root cause patterns P95 latency under 200 ms Auto-correct or specialist route
Pattern recognition

The top denial codes, scored at the source.

Most denial dashboards rank by frequency. Our AI ranks by prevention probability. The top patterns to the right are the ones our model catches most reliably before submission. A clearinghouse will tell you a claim has a syntax error. Our model will tell you a CPT, DX, modifier, and payer combination has a 78 percent historical denial rate in your specific payer mix and exactly what to fix.

The catch rate climbs as more clients onboard. The model is trained continuously on pair instances across the entire active book, refreshed every 90 days, and validated against held-out data before any update ships.

Top denial patterns · prevention rate · current
CO-50
Medical necessity97 of 100 prevented
97%
CO-197
Prior auth required94 of 100 prevented
94%
CO-16
Missing information92 of 100 prevented
92%
CO-29
Timely filing99 of 100 prevented
99%
CO-18
Duplicate claim96 of 100 prevented
96%
CO-204
Service not covered78 of 100 prevented
78%
CO-151
Payment denied: unbundled89 of 100 prevented
89%
CO-109
Not covered by this payer71 of 100 prevented
71%
+72 more tracked · refreshed quarterly
Inside the product

The Denial Prevention AI console.

Live pre-submit scoring queue, 80-pattern catalog, CARC/RARC mapper, and payer-by-pattern heatmap. Your billers see the predicted block reason and exact fix before the claim ever leaves the building.

aisuite.asprcm.com/denial-prevention
M-02PRE-SUBMIT GATE
Patterns active
80
CARC + RARC
Drop predicted
34%
First-pass denials
Baseline
12.4%
Last 90 days
Projected
8.2%
8-week glide
Leakage saved
$1.2M
Per month
Pre-submit claim queue
SCORED P95 < 200ms LIVE
Claim ID
Payer
CPT
Block %
Reason
CLM-884217
UnitedHealthcare
99214
4%
No blocking pattern matched.
CLM-884218
Aetna
97153
78%
CO-197 Prior auth required. Auth on file expired 2 days ago.
CLM-884219
BCBS Texas
99396
31%
CO-50 Medical necessity. Modifier 25 missing on E/M with preventive.
CLM-884220
Cigna
93306
68%
CO-16 Missing information. Referring provider NPI absent.
CLM-884221
Humana
99213
2%
No blocking pattern matched.
Top-payer denial heatmap
% BLOCKED · LAST 30 DAYS
UHC
BCBS
Aetna
Cigna
Humana
Eligibility
8.2%
11.4%
14.8%
7.1%
4.2%
Authorization
18.7%
12.1%
22.4%
16.9%
9.3%
Coding
5.1%
7.6%
10.2%
6.4%
3.1%
Necessity
9.8%
13.7%
11.1%
15.6%
6.8%
Timely filing
2.4%
4.8%
3.9%
2.7%
1.9%
LOW MID HIGH CRITICAL
The AI capabilities

Six capabilities. Each one moves the denial number.

Generic AI medical billing tools score claims with a black-box probability. Our model surfaces the predicted reason, the source data driving it, the historical rate for the pattern, and the exact correction to apply. Each capability is real production code, validated by certified denial prevention specialists.

01 · Pre-submit

Risk score on every claim.

Ensemble model trained on three years of claim-denial pairs across our active payer mix. Outputs 0-100 denial risk score in under 200 ms P95. Score, predicted reason, source data, recommended correction. Live at the moment of submission, not after.

02 · Auto-correct

Deterministic fixes apply.

When the AI predicts a deterministic fix (missing modifier, wrong DX-CPT pairing, lapsed authorization, missing referring NPI), it auto-corrects and re-scores. Specialist review for judgment calls only. Every auto-correction logged with model version and confidence.

03 · Specialist route

High-risk claims route to humans.

When the AI predicts a judgment call (medical necessity, documentation gap), it routes to a senior coder with the predicted CARC, source chart context, and historical pattern. The specialist sees in 10 seconds what would take 5 minutes to investigate cold.

04 · Pattern learning

Quarterly retraining on live data.

The model retrains every 90 days on the full claim-denial corpus across the active book. Validation runs on held-out data before any update ships. CARC patterns that disappear get pruned; new patterns get caught within one retraining cycle.

05 · Payer view

Patterns by payer, by region.

The same CPT-DX pair has a 12 percent denial rate at one regional Medicaid and 38 percent at another. Our model carries payer-specific patterns and emits payer-specific predictions. Generic models that average across payers lose this granularity entirely.

06 · Root cause loop

Prevention feeds CDI.

The patterns the AI surfaces feed clinician education and CDI program priorities. If the model is catching a particular medical necessity documentation gap repeatedly, the answer is upstream coaching, not infinite downstream rework. The loop closes.

The measured drop

From 14.7 percent to 9.7 percent. Measured.

Across rollouts past the eight-week calibration window, first-pass denial rate dropped from a baseline average of 14.7 percent to 9.7 percent on the same claim volume and payer mix. That is the 34 percent relative drop. We measure this against the prior 90-day baseline before AI deployment, not against a national benchmark, so the comparison is apples to apples for the same client.

The drop accrues from three sources roughly equally: prediction-routed denial prevention, eligibility-side catches before submission, and authorization tracking eliminating one specific common denial. The math: a practice billing $20M annually that drops denial rate from 14.7 to 9.7 percent recovers approximately $1M in run-rate cash that previously bled through rework, takebacks, and write-offs.

First-pass denial rate · before vs after AI
Baseline (90d before)14.7%
0%20%
Steady-state (week 8+)9.7%
0%20%
34% drop
Relative reduction on same claim volume / payer mix
How the work runs

Four steps. Sub-second decisioning.

From the moment a claim is queued for submission to the moment it ships to the clearinghouse, here is the work the model and our specialists execute.

Step 01

Score the claim.

Ensemble model emits a 0-100 risk score under 200 ms P95. Predicted CARC, source data points driving the score, historical rate for the pattern, recommended correction. All logged through the LLM Gateway.

Step 02

Route by risk band.

Below 60: ship. 60 to 80: auto-correct if deterministic, route to specialist if judgment. Above 80: route to senior specialist with the predicted CARC, chart context, and historical pattern in view.

Step 03

Fix or escalate.

Auto-correct applies and re-scores. Specialist review applies the correction and re-scores. Escalation routes to a coding lead. Every action logged with actor, decision, and outcome.

Step 04

Learn from the outcome.

Once the 835 comes back, the actual denial status feeds the training corpus. The model retrains every 90 days on the full updated corpus, with held-out validation before deployment. CARC patterns evolve; the model evolves with them.

What clients see

Measured outcomes from denial prevention AI.

Across our active book past the calibration window. Anonymized; individual results depend on payer mix, prior baseline, and how clean the claim file is at engagement start.

34%
First-pass denial rate drop
Steady-state at week 8 onward. From 14.7 percent to 9.7 percent on the same claim volume and payer mix. The drop accrues from prediction-routed prevention, eligibility catches, and authorization tracking together.
<200ms
Risk score P95 latency
Synchronous on claim submission. The clearinghouse sees no delay; the score lands before the claim does. Sub-millisecond auto-correct application when the AI predicts a deterministic fix.
80+
Tracked root cause patterns
Updated quarterly as payer policies change. Each pattern is a CPT, DX, modifier, payer, and region combination with measured denial history. Generic models that average across payers lose this granularity.
Common questions

Frequently asked questions: denial prevention AI.

How does pre-submit denial scoring actually work?
Every claim, on submission, is scored by an ensemble model trained on three years of claim-denial pairs across our active payer mix. The output is a denial risk score from 0 to 100. Above 60 routes to denial prevention review; the specialist sees the predicted reason (CARC, RARC, payer-specific pattern) and the source data points driving the score. Below 60 ships. The model is not generic; it is retrained quarterly on the current denial taxonomy.
What is the AI actually catching that humans miss?
Pattern combinations. A single missing modifier is a checklist catch. The combination of modifier 25 plus a particular DX-CPT pair plus a specific payer plus a specific time window is what AI catches that human reviewers do not. We surface around 80 root cause patterns currently active, refreshed every 90 days. The catch rate climbs as we onboard more clients into the same payer mix because the model sees more pattern instances.
What does the 34 percent drop number measure?
Across mid-to-late stage rollouts (3+ months), first-pass denial rate dropped from a baseline average of 14.7 percent to 9.7 percent on the same claim volume and payer mix. That is the 34 percent relative drop. The compression comes from three sources roughly equally: prediction-routed prevention, eligibility-side catches before submission, and authorization tracking eliminating one specific common denial.
Does this work on day one?
Day one performance is around 60 percent of steady-state. The model needs four to six weeks of your specific payer-mix data to calibrate to your client. We are transparent about this; we show the calibration curve weekly so finance leadership sees the lift accruing. Most clients hit steady-state by week eight.
What happens when a claim is flagged high-risk?
Three paths. First, if the AI predicts a deterministic fix (missing modifier, wrong DX-CPT pairing, lapsed authorization), it auto-corrects and re-scores. Second, if the AI predicts a judgment call (medical necessity documentation), it routes to a senior coder with the predicted reason and the chart context. Third, if the AI is uncertain (probability between 50 and 70), it queues for spot-check by an experienced specialist. Every routing decision is logged.
How is this different from a clearinghouse edit check?
Clearinghouse edits catch syntax. Our model catches pattern. A clearinghouse will tell you a claim is missing a value in field 24A; our model will tell you that this combination of CPT, DX, modifier, and payer has a 78 percent historical denial rate for medical necessity in the last 90 days and the prediction is to add a specific documentation note before submission. Clearinghouse edits are necessary; pattern AI is the next layer.
What about denied claims, not just prevented ones?
Denied claims route into the denial management workflow, which is a separate but connected service. The AI predicts root cause from the CARC/RARC combination, predicts likelihood of overturn on appeal, and prioritizes the appeal queue by recoverable dollars. The model that prevents denials and the model that recovers them share the same root-cause taxonomy, so prevention improvements roll into reduced future denial volume automatically.
Can you predict denials on our existing claim file?
Yes, that is the audit. Send us a 90-day denial dataset (CARC/RARC codes, payer, CPT, line value) and we run a free 30-day denial audit. The output is a four-page report covering your denial taxonomy by root cause, top recoverable categories with dollar estimates, predicted prevention rate if the AI were deployed, and a 90-day fix plan. The audit is useful whether you hire us or not.

Send a 90-day denial dataset. We send back the prevention map.

A free 30-day denial audit. Drop your CARC and RARC codes, payer, CPT, and line value for the last 90 days. We return a four-page written report covering your denial taxonomy, the top recoverable categories with dollar estimates, predicted prevention rate, and a 90-day fix plan. No sales deck. A senior partner on the call.