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HCC Risk Adjustment · CMS-HCC V28 · Payment year 2026

V28 in 2026: the RAF points most groups are still leaving on the table.

The transition is over. For payment year 2026, CMS-HCC V28 carries 100 percent of the risk score. There is no blend to soften a soft chart anymore. The leaks are the same three every year: chronic conditions that were never recaptured, suspect conditions no one addressed, and documentation too thin to survive MEAT. This is how to close each one, without inflating a single code.

100%V28 weight in 2026 Jan 1Every chronic HCC resets 3 leaksRecapture, suspect, MEAT DocumentNever inflate
100%
Of the 2026 risk score comes from CMS-HCC V28
67/33
2024 blend of V24 to V28, before full transition
33/67
2025 blend, the last year V24 counted at all
Jan 1
Every chronic HCC resets to zero and must be recaptured

Where we are in 2026The blend is gone. V28 stands alone now.

CMS moved to the V28 model on a three-year glide path. In payment year 2024 the risk score was a blend of 67 percent V24 and 33 percent V28. In 2025 that flipped to 33 percent V24 and 67 percent V28. For payment year 2026, the transition is complete: the risk score is 100 percent V28. The safety net that let a partial chart score partly on the older, more generous model is no longer there. Every point now runs through V28 alone.

That matters because V28 was not a cosmetic update. CMS remapped many conditions, retired a set of payment HCCs, and restructured the mappings so that some diagnoses that used to carry risk weight in V24 no longer map to a payment HCC at all. The net effect for many populations is a compressed RAF: the same patient, coded to the same real clinical picture, can score lower under V28 than under V24. The response is not to chase the lost points. It is to make sure the points the patient genuinely qualifies for are captured, documented, and defensible.

Figure 1 · Transition
The V24 to V28 phase-in, 2024 to 2026
100% 75% 50% 25% 0% V24 67% V28 33% 2024 V24 33% V28 67% 2025 V28 100% 2026
Blend weights are set by CMS in the annual Rate Announcement. By payment year 2026 the older V24 model no longer contributes to the risk score. Source: CMS Advance Notice and Rate Announcement documents.

Under a blend, a thin chart still earned partial credit from the older model. In 2026 there is no partial credit. The chart either supports the HCC under V28, or it does not.

The reset nobody plans forEvery chronic HCC drops to zero on January 1.

Risk adjustment does not carry a diagnosis forward. HCCs are calculated from the diagnoses submitted during the calendar year. On January 1, the slate is wiped. A patient with diabetes with chronic complications, congestive heart failure, and chronic kidney disease had those conditions documented and coded last year. None of that carries into the new payment year. Each condition must be evaluated, documented, and coded again during the current year or it contributes nothing to the RAF. This is recapture, and it is the single largest source of preventable RAF leakage in most panels.

The leak is quiet because the patient is not new and the condition is not new. The staff know the patient has heart failure. The problem list says so. But a problem-list entry is not a coded, documented, face-to-face encounter for the current year. If the CHF is not addressed at a visit and captured on a claim this year, V28 scores it as if it were not there.

Figure 2 · Recapture
The RAF reset and the recapture window
Full RAF 0 Dec 31 Jan 1 Mid-year Dec 31 No recapture: RAF stays near zero all year With recapture: RAF rebuilt visit by visit
The green line is last year's captured risk. On January 1 it resets to zero (red drop). Groups that treat recapture as a year-long workflow rebuild the RAF (blue). Groups that do not leave it flat and lose the score for conditions the patient still has.
The most common leak

A patient documented with diabetes with chronic complications, CHF, and CKD last year, seen twice this year for acute issues, with none of the three chronic conditions addressed on either claim. Every one of those HCCs scores zero under V28 for the current payment year, even though the conditions are real and ongoing. Nothing was inflated. Something was simply not captured.

The three leaksWhere the points actually go.

Across most Medicare Advantage and risk-bearing panels, the same three failure modes account for the bulk of avoidable RAF loss. None of them is exotic. All of them are workflow problems, not coding-knowledge problems.

1
Un-recaptured chronic HCCs. Real, ongoing conditions that were captured last year and never addressed on a claim this year.
2
Unaddressed suspect conditions. Clinical evidence in labs, meds, and history points to an HCC that was never worked up or documented.
3
Thin documentation that fails MEAT. The code is on the claim, but the note does not show the condition was Monitored, Evaluated, Assessed, or Treated.

The third leak is the one that turns into a takeback. The first two lose points you never captured. The third loses points you did capture but cannot defend when the record is audited. A RADV or payer audit does not read the claim. It reads the note. If the note does not show MEAT, the HCC is unsupported and the payment tied to it is at risk. This is why the discipline is document, do not inflate. Every point you claim has to be a point you can prove.

Leak 2, in detailThe suspect workflow: evidence to confirmed diagnosis.

A suspect condition is a diagnosis the patient likely has, based on clinical evidence already in the record, that has not been formally documented and coded this year. The evidence is real: an A1c consistent with diabetes, an eGFR consistent with a CKD stage, a medication that treats a condition never listed as an active diagnosis, a prior-year HCC not yet recaptured. A suspect is not a guess and it is not a prompt to add a code. It is a prompt to have the clinician evaluate whether the condition is truly present, and if it is, to document and code it properly. If the evaluation shows the condition is not present, the suspect is closed and nothing is coded. That is the compliance guardrail.

Suspect signals Labs · meds · history · prior HCC Clinician evaluates Is the condition truly present? Confirmed and documented Coded with MEAT support Not present: suspect closed Nothing is coded

The value of a disciplined suspect workflow is that it lifts the recapture and capture rate for conditions the patient genuinely has, while creating an auditable trail for the ones that were correctly ruled out. That trail is what separates legitimate risk adjustment from the practices CMS and the OIG have targeted. The goal is a complete and accurate picture of the patient, not a maximized one.

The recapture calendarRecapture is a year-long operation, not a Q4 scramble.

The groups that leak the least treat recapture as a rolling workflow that starts on January 1 and runs to December 31. The Annual Wellness Visit is the anchor. A well-run AWV is the single best vehicle for recapture because it is a comprehensive, preventive encounter where the full problem list is reviewed, every chronic condition can be assessed, and MEAT can be documented for each. Booking the AWV early in the year, and using it to sweep chronic conditions, front-loads the recapture instead of leaving it to a December panic.

WindowThe recapture moveWhy it wins
Q1 · Jan to MarRun the reset report. Every HCC captured last year is now a target. Schedule AWVs for the highest-acuity patients first.The earlier a chronic condition is recaptured, the more room the year leaves to fix documentation gaps before they harden.
Q2 · Apr to JunWork the AWV backlog. Address suspect conditions surfaced by lab and pharmacy data at every touch.Preventive visits carry the fullest documentation, which is exactly what MEAT and audit defense need.
Q3 · Jul to SepGap-close on patients not yet seen. Point-of-care prompts flag un-recaptured HCCs at the visit.Catching the gap in the exam room is the only place a recapture is both clinically appropriate and documentable.
Q4 · Oct to DecFinal sweep of open chronic HCCs and open suspects. Confirm every capture has MEAT in the note, not just a code on the claim.The year closes at 100 percent V28. Q4 is the last chance to make the chart match the claim.

MEATThe documentation standard that survives an audit.

MEAT is the four-part test that determines whether a documented diagnosis is supported: was the condition Monitored, Evaluated, Assessed, or Treated at the encounter. A code on a claim with a note that does no more than restate the diagnosis on the problem list does not meet MEAT. An auditor reading that note sees a diagnosis carried forward without evidence of active management, and the HCC is unsupported. MEAT is not a coding trick. It is the ordinary substance of a real clinical encounter, written down.

Monitored
Signs, symptoms, and disease progression tracked over time.
Evaluated
Test results, response to treatment, and clinical findings reviewed.
Assessed
Clinical status recorded, diagnosis ordered and prioritized.
Treated
Medication, referral, therapy, or plan of care documented.
Figure 3 · MEAT checklist
Thin note versus audit-survivable note
FAILS MEAT "CHF, stable. Continue meds." ✗ No monitoring detail ✗ No evaluation of findings ✗ No assessment of status ✗ Treatment not specified Auditor: unsupported HCC SURVIVES MEAT M Weight, BNP trend reviewed E Echo EF 35%, edema noted A CHF, HFrEF, stable this visit T Continue GDMT, titrate dose Auditor: supported HCC
Both notes contain the same diagnosis and could carry the same code. Only the right-hand note proves the condition was actively managed. Under 100 percent V28, the difference between them is the difference between a defended point and a recouped one.

Point-of-care prompts are the mechanism that turns MEAT from a training slide into a habit. A prompt that surfaces an un-recaptured chronic HCC or an open suspect at the moment the clinician has the chart open, with the supporting evidence attached, is doing two things at once. It raises the recapture rate, and it does so at the only point in the workflow where the condition can be legitimately assessed and documented with MEAT. The prompt does not add a code. It hands the clinician the evidence and lets clinical judgment decide.

The whole playbook in one line

Recapture every chronic HCC the patient still has, work every suspect to a real clinical decision, and document each one with MEAT. Nothing here inflates a score. It captures the score the patient already qualifies for, and makes it defensible.

The deeper mechanics of this, including the reset report, the AWV-anchored recapture calendar, and the point-of-care prompt design, are laid out in the V28 RAF Optimization Playbook. For a worked example of what recapture and MEAT discipline look like applied to a real payment year, see the HCC V28 RAF Recapture case study.

The pattern

Four leaks under full V28.

In 2026 the blend is gone, so every one of these costs full value. Each is a workflow gap, not a coding-knowledge gap, and each has a durable preventive control on the next panel.

Leak 01

The problem-list mirage

The chronic condition is on the problem list, so the team assumes it is captured. But a problem-list entry is not a current-year coded encounter. Under V28 it scores zero until it is addressed and coded this year.

Leak 02

The unopened suspect

Labs, pharmacy, and prior-year data point to an HCC the patient likely has, but no one surfaced it to the clinician. The evidence sat in the record while the condition went uncoded and unmanaged.

Leak 03

The V24 muscle memory

Coding to habits built under V24, where certain diagnoses carried weight that V28 remapped or trimmed. Effort goes to conditions V28 no longer credits while genuine V28 HCCs go uncaptured.

Leak 04

The code without the note

The HCC is on the claim but the note is a one-liner. It fails MEAT. The point is captured on paper and lost on audit, which is worse than never capturing it because it invites a takeback.

The prevention

Four controls that close them.

Each leak above has a single, durable fix. Together they raise the legitimate capture rate and keep every captured point defensible under audit.

Control 01

The January reset report

On January 1, last year's captured HCCs become this year's recapture targets. The report is the worklist. It converts a silent, invisible leak into a scheduled, trackable task with an owner.

Control 02

Evidence-driven suspecting

Lab, pharmacy, and history data are mined for suspect signals and surfaced to the clinician with the evidence attached. The clinician decides. Confirmed conditions are coded with MEAT, ruled-out ones are closed and documented.

Control 03

A V28-current mapping

Coders and prompts run against the current V28 mappings, not V24 habits. Effort is aimed at conditions V28 actually credits, and the trimmed HCCs stop absorbing time that produces no score.

Control 04

MEAT enforced at note close

Point-of-care prompts require the note to show Monitored, Evaluated, Assessed, or Treated before a chronic condition is captured. The claim and the chart are reconciled in the exam room, not in an audit response.

FAQ · CMS-HCC V28 in 2026

Seven questions risk-adjustment leads ask.

Is V28 fully phased in for 2026?

Yes. CMS moved to V28 on a three-year glide path: a 67 percent V24 to 33 percent V28 blend in payment year 2024, a 33 percent V24 to 67 percent V28 blend in 2025, and 100 percent V28 in 2026. For the current payment year the older V24 model no longer contributes to the risk score. The blend weights are published by CMS in the annual Advance Notice and Rate Announcement.

Why did our RAF drop even though the patients are the same?

V28 remapped many conditions and trimmed a number of payment HCCs, so some diagnoses that carried weight under V24 no longer map to a payment HCC. The same patient coded to the same real clinical picture can score lower under V28. The correct response is to make sure the conditions the patient genuinely has are recaptured and documented, not to search for the lost points. Chasing points V28 removed is neither possible nor compliant.

What exactly is recapture, and why does it reset?

Risk adjustment is calculated from diagnoses submitted during the calendar year, and it does not carry a diagnosis forward. On January 1 every chronic HCC resets to zero. A chronic condition captured last year contributes nothing to this year's RAF unless it is evaluated, documented, and coded again during the current year. Recapturing it means addressing the condition at a real encounter, with MEAT in the note.

How is a suspect condition different from just adding a code?

A suspect is a diagnosis the patient likely has based on evidence already in the record, surfaced to the clinician for evaluation. It is never an instruction to add a code. The clinician decides whether the condition is truly present. If it is, it is documented and coded with MEAT support. If it is not, the suspect is closed and nothing is coded. That guardrail is what keeps suspecting compliant rather than a driver of unsupported diagnoses.

What is MEAT and why does it decide an audit?

MEAT stands for Monitored, Evaluated, Assessed, or Treated. It is the test for whether a documented diagnosis is supported by the encounter. An auditor does not read the claim, they read the note. A note that only restates a diagnosis without showing active management fails MEAT, and the HCC is unsupported regardless of the code on the claim. Under 100 percent V28 there is no blend to cushion an unsupported HCC, so MEAT is the line between a defended point and a recouped one.

Why is the Annual Wellness Visit central to recapture?

The AWV is a comprehensive preventive encounter where the full problem list is reviewed and every chronic condition can be assessed and documented in one visit. That makes it the highest-yield vehicle for recapture and the richest source of MEAT documentation. Booking AWVs early in the year front-loads recapture and turns a December scramble into a Q1 and Q2 workflow.

Is aggressive HCC capture a compliance risk?

Inflating scores is. Accurate capture is not. The standard is a complete and accurate picture of the patient, documented and defensible, never a maximized one. CMS and the OIG have targeted practices that added diagnoses without clinical support. A disciplined program recaptures only conditions the patient genuinely has, works suspects to a real clinical decision, documents every capture with MEAT, and keeps an auditable trail for the suspects that were correctly ruled out.

Want to know your real recapture gap before year-end?

A free V28 RAF gap read on a de-identified sample of your panel, under a same-day BAA. The output is a written report: the chronic HCCs sitting un-recaptured, the open suspects with supporting evidence, and the share of captured HCCs whose notes would fail MEAT on audit, with a remediation plan a coding lead can run this quarter.